Mizzou edges Kansas on last-second shot

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/09/2009 - Columbia, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Zaire Taylor hit the game-winning jumper with 1.3 seconds left to help 17th-ranked Missouri deal No. 16 Kansas its first conference loss of the season with a 62-60 victory over the Jayhawks.

Taylor finished with seven points for the Tigers (21-4, 8-2 Big 12), who have won four straight games. DeMarre Carroll chipped in 22 points and seven rebounds while Leo Lyons scored 13 points in the triumph.

Tyshawn Taylor scored 11 points for the Jayhawks (19-5, 8-1), who saw their eight-game win streak halted. Sherron Collins, Mario Little and Travis Releford each gave nine points in defeat, and Cole Aldrich totaled eight points and a game-best 15 boards.

Trailing by three late in the contest, J.T. Tiller was fouled and hit 1-of-2 at the stripe to cut it to 58-56.

Following an 0-for-2 performance by Collins at the line, Lyons was fouled going for a dunk and hit both to tie it at 58 with 90 ticks left to play.

Collins then missed a layup which led to Tiller draining a jumper to give the Tigers the lead, 60-58. Little, though, nailed a jumper at the other end to tie it with 29 seconds showing on the clock.

Following a timeout, Lyons hit Zaire Taylor who drove the lane, found his spot on the right wing, pump-faked and dropped in a jumper with the ball bounding high off the rim before falling through to give the Tigers the lead with 1.3 seconds left.

Kansas still had time and launched the ball downcourt to Aldrich, whose last- second effort failed to drop in.

Carroll's layup gave the Tigers an 11-10 lead with just under 12 minutes left in the first half.

However, Collins responded with a layup of his own to set the tone for a 12-2 Jayhawks surge. Tyrel Reed closed it out with a three-pointer to give the visitors a 22-13 advantage with 7:59 showing on the clock.

Kansas kept pushing and eventually opened a 30-16 lead at the break. Missouri hadn't scored fewer than 18 points in any half this season.

Kim English scored the first four points of the second half igniting a 10-4 Tigers run that got the home team back within 34-26 just over three minutes in to the second half.

Then, down by 11 late in the game, Carroll's layup sparked an 8-0 run that cut it to 54-51. English kept it going with a layup before Carroll scored the next five points to close out the run with 5:37 left.

Game Notes

Kansas still owns a 166-94 series lead over Missouri, and the Jayhawks won both meetings a year ago...Both schools had shooting woes over the first 20 minutes, as Kansas was 12-of-33 (36.4 percent) from the field and 2-of-12 (16.7 percent) from three-point range. Missouri hit 7-of-29 (24.1 percent) from the field and went 1-for-10 (10 percent) from behind the arc...The Jayhawks play at Kansas State on Saturday while the Tigers host Nebraska on Saturday.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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